Conflict & Security
Analyse armed conflicts, military modernisation, and evolving security dynamics from interstate wars to insurgencies and proxy struggles.
Armed conflict and security competition remain major drivers of geopolitical change. This theme examines the causes, dynamics, and consequences of conflicts ranging from interstate wars to insurgencies and proxy struggles. It also explores broader security trends including military modernisation, defence cooperation, and evolving doctrines of warfare. By analysing both active conflicts and emerging flashpoints, the section highlights how instability can reshape alliances, disrupt economic systems, and alter regional balances of power.
Maps & Infographics on Conflict & Security
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Arctic Importance: Shipping and Missile Paths
The Arctic is becoming increasingly geopolitically relevant as climate change reduces sea-ice extent and extends seasonal navigability.
Conflict Belt: 2025 Major African Conflict Zones
Patterns of political violence across Africa cluster in identifiable epicentres combining weak state control, transnational armed groups, and economically strategic territory.
NATO Expansion: An Evolution Over Time
NATO's security perimeter has shifted eastward through successive waves of enlargement, reshaping the military geography of Europe.
Trump’s Hormuz Narrative Clashes with Reality
White House claims of victory and control over the Strait of Hormuz diverge sharply from shipping data showing that commercial transit remains severely constrained.
The Great Divide in AI & Infrastructure
The emerging contest over artificial intelligence reveals a pronounced asymmetry in the physical infrastructure that underpins advanced AI systems.
The Price of Security: Numbers Behind Russian "Assistance"
A wave of military coups across the Sahel since 2020 has dramatically reshaped the region's security landscape, with data suggesting these shifts have not produced the promised stability.
